Jason Kottke revisited The Long Boom, a WIRED article from 1997 that offered predictions for the next 25 years. As he noted, a lot of this came true but the one that really stood out to me was this:
9. An uncontrollable plague — a modern-day influenza epidemic or its equivalent — takes off like wildfire, killing upward of 200 million people.
Sound like COVID-19? Most people might think “wow, how did they know?” but the real question is “if this could be predicted by a journalist, why couldn’t government officials spot this and prevent it from at least taking such a devastating hold on us?” It’s not like scientists spending their careers studying this stuff.
But I know why. A mixture of arrogance, ignorance, and knowing it wouldn’t affect them detrimentally, or not without a way to recoup anything lost by taking from the people most vulnerable. All under the guise of “unprecedented times”, allowing them to mismanage and get away with it.
Filed under: COVID-19 epidemiology microbiology public healthSo it is Written, So it Shall be Done.